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From Past to Prediction: Why Context Must Reshape Modern Risk Assessment
At first glance, two squares on a chessboard seem completely different in color. But place them in a different context, and you realize...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Sep 267 min read


From Diplomatic Glitch to Media Frenzy: Macron’s NYC Stroll and the Reality of Close Protection
In recent years, the transformation of minor diplomatic incidents into full-blown media narratives has become a common phenomenon. A...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Sep 232 min read


What If a Russian Drone Killed in Poland on September 10?
On 10 September 2025, multiple Russian drones crossed into Polish airspace during a large-scale strike on Ukraine. Polish F-16s and Dutch...
George Janjalia
Sep 124 min read


Ukraine’s Demographic Collapse: Myth or Reality?
Ukraine’s decision in April 2024 to lower the mobilisation age from 27 to 25 was framed abroad as evidence of collapse. President...
George Janjalia
Sep 114 min read


Putin Tested NATO Red Lines. Do They Still Exist?
What Happened: Russian Drones in Poland In the early hours of September 10, 2025, Polish airspace was breached by at least 19 Russian...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Sep 103 min read


If you think Russia is winning the war, you’re a fool. Don’t be offended—let us elaborate.
Short answer first: Russia is not “winning.” Why? Because in war, winning means achieving your political objectives, not having the...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Sep 93 min read


Ukraine is Losing the War: Myth or Reality?
A narrative in some Western debate and Russian propaganda claims Ukraine is losing because Russia bombs civilians and headlines show...
George Janjalia
Sep 53 min read


SCO ≠ Security — It’s a Supply Chain Organization
Every summit has its official narrative. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) presents itself as a “security forum,” a platform...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Sep 33 min read


What If $300bn in Russian Assets Shift to Ukraine?
Image generated by ChatGPT using OpenAI’s DALL·E Seizing $300bn in Russian reserves frozen since March 2022 would break decades of...
George Janjalia
Sep 24 min read


So What – by History: Greenland, Denmark & the U.S.
The Question Denmark has just hauled in the U.S. envoy over allegations that Americans tied to Trump are running influence operations in...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Aug 292 min read


Trade Land for Peace: Myth or Reality?
Image generated by ChatGPT using OpenAI’s DALL·E A growing narrative claims Ukrainians want peace talks and are ready to trade territory...
George Janjalia
Aug 282 min read


Follow the Money: How Iran’s Hidden Hand Reached Melbourne
On a December night in Melbourne, three hooded men dragged jerry cans from the back of a stolen car, doused the entrance of a synagogue,...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Aug 272 min read


If the war in Ukraine ends tomorrow, who actually “wins”?
In July 2025 Ukraine’s finance minister warned that the state could not balance budgets without $3.2 billion in monthly external...
George Janjalia
Aug 263 min read


Why Our Risk Radar Might Be Blinded—and How to Sharpen It
We all believe we can spot danger before it strikes—until we realize that our methods for judging risk are often flawed. Let’s fix that....

Mikheil Golijashvili
Aug 254 min read


Organisational Vulnerabilities in Wartime Ukraine
Image generated by ChatGPT using OpenAI’s DALL·E On 24 July 2025, Ukraine went dark. For two and a half hours, Starlink - the satellite...
George Janjalia
Aug 214 min read


Why We Suck at Predicting War Outcomes
Image generated by AI using OpenAI’s DALL·E Wars have a nasty habit of making fools out of experts. Think about it: Vietnam, where the...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Aug 203 min read


So What – By History: Israel & Hamas — Is Peace Really Coming?
Foreign Policy The Question: On August 18, Hamas announced it had accepted an Egyptian- and Qatari-brokered ceasefire proposal with...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Aug 192 min read


PTSD and Social Risk: An Operational Threat to Sustaining Business in Ukraine
Image generated by ChatGPT using DALL·E, OpenAI (August 14, 2025) Ukraine’s business environment is shaped by social and psychological...
George Janjalia
Aug 142 min read


So what – by history: Syria Seeking Investments?
Aljazeera The Question Jordan just hosted Syria and the US to talk reconstruction and investment. So what? Is this the moment Syria...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Aug 131 min read


So What — by History: The Trump & Putin Meeting
The Guardian The Question Trump’s about to sit down with Putin in Alaska. So what? Is this the moment everything changes in Ukraine—or...

Mikheil Golijashvili
Aug 131 min read
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